Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 2:47 PM, 297 voters in 34 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 209,726 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 183,351 - 231,343). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward

ward	time_of_day	turnout	turnout_p025	turnout_p975
01	2:47 PM	3108	c(2.5% = 2751)	c(97.5% = 3382)
02	2:47 PM	4853	c(2.5% = 4272)	c(97.5% = 5316)
03	2:47 PM	2742	c(2.5% = 2268)	c(97.5% = 3145)
04	2:47 PM	2704	c(2.5% = 2251)	c(97.5% = 3123)
05	2:47 PM	7104	c(2.5% = 6140)	c(97.5% = 7939)
06	2:47 PM	1851	c(2.5% = 1566)	c(97.5% = 2075)
07	2:47 PM	1661	c(2.5% = 1123)	c(97.5% = 2064)
08	2:47 PM	6568	c(2.5% = 5807)	c(97.5% = 7446)
09	2:47 PM	3135	c(2.5% = 2676)	c(97.5% = 3740)
10	2:47 PM	4008	c(2.5% = 3261)	c(97.5% = 4601)
11	2:47 PM	1721	c(2.5% = 1405)	c(97.5% = 2041)
12	2:47 PM	2992	c(2.5% = 2479)	c(97.5% = 3387)
13	2:47 PM	2687	c(2.5% = 2212)	c(97.5% = 3103)
14	2:47 PM	1192	c(2.5% = 1032)	c(97.5% = 1322)
15	2:47 PM	3445	c(2.5% = 3087)	c(97.5% = 3754)
16	2:47 PM	1424	c(2.5% = 1153)	c(97.5% = 1706)
17	2:47 PM	3314	c(2.5% = 2763)	c(97.5% = 3818)
18	2:47 PM	3040	c(2.5% = 2592)	c(97.5% = 3319)
19	2:47 PM	1350	c(2.5% = 970)	c(97.5% = 1646)
20	2:47 PM	1290	c(2.5% = 951)	c(97.5% = 1506)
21	2:47 PM	7640	c(2.5% = 6774)	c(97.5% = 8504)
22	2:47 PM	4331	c(2.5% = 3581)	c(97.5% = 4940)
23	2:47 PM	2428	c(2.5% = 2001)	c(97.5% = 2722)
24	2:47 PM	2071	c(2.5% = 1647)	c(97.5% = 2360)
25	2:47 PM	1951	c(2.5% = 1520)	c(97.5% = 2301)
26	2:47 PM	2942	c(2.5% = 2493)	c(97.5% = 3141)
27	2:47 PM	3442	c(2.5% = 2450)	c(97.5% = 4991)
28	2:47 PM	1521	c(2.5% = 1211)	c(97.5% = 1834)
29	2:47 PM	1551	c(2.5% = 1344)	c(97.5% = 1724)
30	2:47 PM	3053	c(2.5% = 2710)	c(97.5% = 3447)
31	2:47 PM	2618	c(2.5% = 2137)	c(97.5% = 2891)
32	2:47 PM	2512	c(2.5% = 2070)	c(97.5% = 2891)
33	2:47 PM	1965	c(2.5% = 1335)	c(97.5% = 2436)
34	2:47 PM	5682	c(2.5% = 4880)	c(97.5% = 6359)
35	2:47 PM	3714	c(2.5% = 2953)	c(97.5% = 4163)
36	2:47 PM	4689	c(2.5% = 4132)	c(97.5% = 5112)
37	2:47 PM	1608	c(2.5% = 1302)	c(97.5% = 1901)
38	2:47 PM	2820	c(2.5% = 2524)	c(97.5% = 3101)
39	2:47 PM	5688	c(2.5% = 5034)	c(97.5% = 6141)
40	2:47 PM	5814	c(2.5% = 4691)	c(97.5% = 6360)
41	2:47 PM	2217	c(2.5% = 1729)	c(97.5% = 2589)
42	2:47 PM	2826	c(2.5% = 2072)	c(97.5% = 3212)
43	2:47 PM	2208	c(2.5% = 1671)	c(97.5% = 2552)
44	2:47 PM	1817	c(2.5% = 1507)	c(97.5% = 2093)
45	2:47 PM	2483	c(2.5% = 1990)	c(97.5% = 2870)
46	2:47 PM	3574	c(2.5% = 3129)	c(97.5% = 4045)
47	2:47 PM	1103	c(2.5% = 925)	c(97.5% = 1206)
48	2:47 PM	2577	c(2.5% = 2109)	c(97.5% = 2826)
49	2:47 PM	3306	c(2.5% = 2802)	c(97.5% = 3686)
50	2:47 PM	4739	c(2.5% = 3872)	c(97.5% = 5474)
51	2:47 PM	2959	c(2.5% = 2479)	c(97.5% = 3399)
52	2:47 PM	3704	c(2.5% = 3113)	c(97.5% = 4243)
53	2:47 PM	2489	c(2.5% = 1986)	c(97.5% = 2815)
54	2:47 PM	1747	c(2.5% = 1262)	c(97.5% = 2108)
55	2:47 PM	2857	c(2.5% = 2212)	c(97.5% = 3420)
56	2:47 PM	4207	c(2.5% = 3389)	c(97.5% = 4865)
57	2:47 PM	3692	c(2.5% = 3079)	c(97.5% = 4106)
58	2:47 PM	6112	c(2.5% = 5018)	c(97.5% = 6935)
59	2:47 PM	3214	c(2.5% = 2702)	c(97.5% = 3612)
60	2:47 PM	2549	c(2.5% = 2156)	c(97.5% = 2888)
61	2:47 PM	3857	c(2.5% = 3177)	c(97.5% = 4231)
62	2:47 PM	2650	c(2.5% = 2028)	c(97.5% = 3070)
63	2:47 PM	3542	c(2.5% = 3038)	c(97.5% = 3952)
64	2:47 PM	1982	c(2.5% = 1569)	c(97.5% = 2312)
65	2:47 PM	2942	c(2.5% = 2474)	c(97.5% = 3286)
66	2:47 PM	6139	c(2.5% = 5154)	c(97.5% = 6757)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data

Time of Vote	Precinct	Voter Number
7:10 AM	5107	2
7:41 AM	0537	24
7:42 AM	0501	14
7:43 AM	0828	33
7:03 AM	2714	2
7:40 AM	1508	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:25 AM	0214	16
7:56 AM	3636	33
7:13 AM	0218	9
8:07 AM	4603	27
8:16 AM	0218	60
8:18 AM	0222	68
8:10 AM	1810	36
8:20 AM	3635	57
8:30 AM	3110	55
8:32 AM	0532	69
8:30 AM	2707	45
8:32 AM	2702	48
8:15 AM	3901	52
8:15 AM	3640	64
8:38 AM	3638	55
8:38 AM	3637	31
8:42 AM	0525	64
8:40 AM	0501	36
7:30 AM	0202	28
8:40 AM	0537	56
8:12 AM	4616	41
8:35 AM	3909	65
8:43 AM	0517	69
8:49 AM	0834	73
8:49 AM	0206	69
8:50 AM	0828	77
8:07 AM	0801	40
7:30 AM	3640	31
7:30 AM	3104	29
8:50 AM	0213	25
8:40 AM	2717	56
8:45 AM	2101	47
8:25 AM	3945	52
7:48 AM	1503	38
7:48 AM	1503	38
9:02 AM	1503	92
7:15 AM	0902	12
8:40 AM	2717	56
7:01 AM	0807	13
9:09 AM	4701	73
8:50 AM	0213	25
9:10 AM	1514	81
7:55 AM	1517	30
9:00 AM	3914	40
8:00 AM	5702	60
8:30 AM	2105	91
8:30 AM	2105	91
9:15 AM	2714	51
8:15 AM	2605	56
9:20 AM	3637	100
9:20 AM	3638	79
8:30 AM	0521	92
9:20 AM	0532	112
9:15 AM	1802	73
9:24 AM	2911	62
9:03 AM	0229	95
9:23 AM	0812	138
8:50 AM	0828	77
9:00 AM	3107	100
9:15 AM	3639	86
9:15 AM	0120	76
9:30 AM	0308	109
9:30 AM	0807	98
9:25 AM	3610	84
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:34 AM	0818	50
9:35 AM	0817	107
8:40 AM	1514	68
8:00 AM	0106	69
8:40 AM	1514	68
9:38 AM	6008	49
9:30 AM	3636	108
7:15 AM	0114	9
9:46 AM	3111	104
9:47 AM	0204	72
9:50 AM	0505	92
9:55 AM	0528	148
9:45 AM	0224	110
9:45 AM	0224	109
7:45 AM	0517	35
9:58 AM	3636	120
9:49 AM	2212	74
8:00 AM	0817	100
10:05 AM	1503	129
10:02 AM	0517	135
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:20 AM	2217	17
8:15 AM	3516	56
7:40 AM	2105	45
10:00 AM	0110	97
9:40 AM	0222	97
10:00 AM	2622	82
10:03 AM	3006	101
8:15 AM	2619	77
10:02 AM	0835	100
10:18 AM	3104	156
10:20 AM	4701	114
7:45 AM	0516	41
10:18 AM	0515	420
8:28 AM	0516	70
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:15 AM	3641	78
9:50 AM	0505	92
10:29 AM	0509	188
10:30 AM	1513	95
8:00 AM	2113	13
10:39 AM	0537	108
10:40 AM	0501	75
10:15 AM	3115	144
10:10 AM	4603	60
9:45 AM	1517	101
10:40 AM	0206	115
10:42 AM	0505	117
10:44 AM	0834	93
9:30 AM	0807	98
10:45 AM	0807	115
10:45 AM	1503	147
10:45 AM	0309	129
10:40 AM	3629	76
10:52 AM	1717	90
10:52 AM	1717	90
7:30 AM	1802	38
10:50 AM	2706	156
10:45 AM	2713	96
10:02 AM	4622	131
11:00 AM	2707	86
11:10 AM	3113	101
8:30 AM	0201	103
8:40 AM	0824	57
11:07 AM	6008	67
8:00 AM	4601	37
11:00 AM	2208	91
9:00 AM	0822	1
11:00 AM	2101	131
10:00 AM	0101	79
10:00 AM	0102	90
10:00 AM	0103	136
10:00 AM	0104	92
10:00 AM	0105	45
10:00 AM	0106	93
10:00 AM	0107	40
10:00 AM	0108	89
10:00 AM	0109	83
10:00 AM	0110	104
10:00 AM	0111	86
10:00 AM	0112	69
10:00 AM	0113	122
10:00 AM	0114	85
10:00 AM	0115	139
10:00 AM	0116	68
10:00 AM	0117	79
10:00 AM	0118	121
10:00 AM	0119	75
10:00 AM	0120	106
10:00 AM	0121	130
11:17 AM	3943	119
11:00 AM	1811	150
11:18 AM	4701	135
11:00 AM	3103	5
11:15 AM	0526	175
11:00 AM	5904	142
8:30 AM	0504	105
11:22 AM	1503	156
9:02 AM	0120	63
8:10 AM	0819	60
11:29 AM	0213	47
9:15 AM	0904	69
11:30 AM	3914	140
11:30 AM	4920	110
10:00 AM	3945	156
11:00 AM	0102	111
11:00 AM	0108	105
11:00 AM	0109	89
11:00 AM	0107	54
11:30 AM	0833	124
11:00 AM	0104	120
7:50 AM	4622	31
11:00 AM	0105	47
11:30 AM	1810	140
11:39 AM	0834	106
11:32 AM	0116	99
11:43 AM	0537	122
11:43 AM	0501	99
11:45 AM	2702	88
11:40 AM	4808	118
11:53 AM	0528	194
11:45 AM	1815	121
11:45 AM	1816	192
11:45 AM	1817	193
11:45 AM	0217	111
11:50 AM	3610	112
11:50 AM	0217	112
12:00 PM	3637	153
12:00 PM	3638	118
9:40 AM	0218	88
12:05 PM	0110	127
9:20 AM	0803	123
9:22 AM	0803	125
11:00 AM	0209	104
7:22 AM	0506	9
12:01 PM	0101	96
12:01 PM	0103	164
12:00 PM	2125	127
12:01 PM	0107	69
12:01 PM	0110	127
12:01 PM	0114	128
12:01 PM	0115	191
12:01 PM	0117	175
12:01 PM	0119	166
12:15 PM	1503	175
12:01 PM	0121	160
10:00 AM	2702	65
12:15 PM	4903	216
7:01 AM	1511	17
12:02 PM	0526	182
12:29 PM	3103	175
12:29 PM	3113	151
10:47 AM	1507	1
12:38 PM	1716	80
11:00 AM	6522	121
12:38 PM	0528	208
12:38 PM	0528	208
11:00 AM	0120	127
12:23 PM	6008	80
7:40 AM	6509	22
8:00 AM	4618	32
12:50 PM	0525	121
12:02 PM	0831	123
12:30 PM	3007	161
12:30 PM	5217	120
12:55 PM	4002	146
7:25 AM	0532	35
12:40 PM	0529	58
1:04 PM	1902	128
1:05 PM	1903	72
1:05 PM	1904	81
1:02 PM	2702	100
1:12 PM	0834	113
8:20 AM	0810	66
12:29 PM	3113	151
1:00 PM	3609	112
7:01 AM	2122	20
1:20 PM	1514	117
1:25 PM	3006	141
1:30 PM	3914	175
1:29 PM	4320	120
1:30 PM	0517	194
11:10 AM	3105	1
1:30 PM	2701	119
7:45 AM	4616	34
9:15 AM	4125	74
1:43 PM	1717	115
1:43 PM	0537	130
1:45 PM	0817	166
8:30 AM	2605	76
1:43 PM	0501	133
1:45 PM	0818	88
1:43 PM	1717	115
10:40 AM	1510	121
1:45 PM	1810	188
1:48 PM	3943	160
1:51 PM	3637	170
1:52 PM	3638	137
1:45 PM	1817	238
2:00 PM	3103	194
9:00 AM	2719	1
2:05 PM	4701	166
1:45 PM	2911	109
8:00 AM	0510	63
10:30 AM	3942	90
8:00 AM	4616	49
2:25 PM	6414	114
2:27 PM	0834	124
2:28 PM	1810	216
2:28 PM	1503	202
2:30 PM	1802	139
2:30 PM	2706	220
2:30 PM	1801	204
11:00 AM	0914	46
2:36 PM	1514	125
2:15 PM	3909	158
2:37 PM	4616	153
1:50 PM	3002	131
7:05 AM	2622	6
2:47 PM	2133	268
8:02 AM	0815	48
11:45 AM	1817	193
12:35 PM	3634	92
7:40 AM	3602	16

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions